Determinants of agricultural output in Ethiopia: ARDLapproach to co-integration

Adamu Mulu Ketema ()
Additional contact information
Adamu Mulu Ketema: Lecturer at Salale University,Fitche, Ethiopia.

International Journal of Business and Social Research, 2020, vol. 10, issue 3, 1-10

Abstract: Agricultural output in Ethiopia plays an essential role in generatingforeign exchange and feeding the largest share of the population, due this identifying determinant of agricultural output at macro level is important. This study investigated determinants of agricultural output at macro level by using time series data starting from 1980-2018.The ARDL approach to co integration is applied to investigate the long run and short-run determinants of agricultural output. The result reveals that Rainfall, Fertilizer input import, Trade openness, inflation rate affect positively and significantly in the long run whereas Drought affect negatively and significantly. Inthe short run Fertilizer input import and labor force affect positively and significantly while Rainfall affects positively and insignificant. Also besides to this, in a short run, drought affects negatively and significantly agricultural output. Therefore the study recommends government policies should focus on proper uses of resources like expenditure on agriculture should be used properly, Drought-resistant agriculture, and reduces the dependency on rainfall by adopting different technology at the macro level and micro level.

Keywords: Agricultural output; determinants; drought; ARDL; co-integration; Ethiopia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E3 O1 Q1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://thejournalofbusiness.org/index.php/site/article/view/1293/715 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrc:larijb:v:10:y:2020:i:3:p:1-10

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in International Journal of Business and Social Research from LAR Center Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Al Hossain ().