Predicting and Explaining Currency Crisis in Sudan

Dr. Alamedin Bannaga PhD
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Dr. Alamedin Bannaga PhD: Manchester University,The Arab Monetary Fund – Abu Dhabi,United Arab Emirates

International Journal of Business and Social Research, 2012, vol. 2, issue 7, 85-102

Abstract: Sudan is one of the countries that suffer enormously from currency crisis. The study adopts statistical methods to identify crisis episodes and investigate behaviors of some economic indicators that can predict crisis incidence. The indicators are then utilized to characterize the causes and implications of the currency crisis. The study finds that the most powerful predictors of currency crisis in Sudan are international reserves, political crisis, ratio of debt services to exports and inflation.

Keywords: Currency crisis; Sudan; exchange rate in developing countries. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrc:larijb:v:2:y:2012:i:7:p:85-102

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