Unexpected Banking Loan Losses in an Estimated DSGE Model (in Persian)

Mohsen Mehrara (), Hamid Abrishami () and Amir Shokri ()
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Mohsen Mehrara: University of Tehran
Hamid Abrishami: University of Tehran
Amir Shokri: University of Tehran

Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), 2019, vol. 12, issue 40, 247-298

Abstract: In spite of realizing more loss than expected and reserved provision in loaning process, some of our banks avoid recognizing the losses, through extension of the loan contracts and consequently do not shift the realized losses to their capital. With this in mind, the major objective of this study is to design a frame-work, through which we can explain the differences between the results of the current and the legal approaches in banking operation, within the following models: 1- Model CU, which indicates the current practice of banking system in avoiding loss recognition through extension of the loanchr('39')s contracts. 2- Model BM, which is a benchmark model and in line with the legal rules 3- Model AT, which represents the replacement of predetermined loan rate with a realized one (with close similarity to participation loans), as an alternative method. The analysis of the impulse responses of models, within the DSGE frame-work, shows that considering the legal requirements of the banks, will amplify the effect of the shocks to the real economy and if the loan rates are determined based on the realized return, instead of predetermined rate, the bankchr('39')s unexpected loan losses will decline, in the face of many negative shocks.

JEL-codes: E32 G21 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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