 On the Derivation of Monetary Policy Shocks: Should We Throw the VAR Out with the Bath Water?Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2000, vol. 32, issue 2, 254-79 Abstract: This paper considers an alternative econometric approach to the standard VAR methodology for identifying and estimating the effects of monetary policy shocks. The alternative approach makes more reasonable assumptions about economic agents' information set by: 1) restructuring the VAR variables according to what data are actually observable in each point in time, and 2) augmenting the VAR model with available measures of market participants' expectations of various economic variables, thus increasing the assumed information set. Should we throw the VAR out with the bath water? Unfortunately, the results of this paper are somewhat inconclusive. The expectations measures prove to be quite valuable--the variances of all innovations are reduced by at least one-half compared to the standard VAR innovations. Nevertheless, the innovations, monetary policy shocks, and impulse responses for both methods are fairly similar. Indeed, they are similar enough that the standard VAR approach cannot be rejected out of hand, but dissimilar enough that the standard approach cannot be validated. Date: 2000 There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:254-79 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Money, Credit and Banking is currently edited by Robert deYoung, Paul Evans, Pok-Sang Lam and Kenneth D. West More articles in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking from Blackwell Publishing |
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