Purchasing Power Parity and Markov Regime Switching

Angelos Kanas

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2006, vol. 38, issue 6, 1669-1687

Abstract: We revisit the evidence on PPP in the twentieth century allowing for Markov regime switching in the ADF regression. Using Lopez et al.'s (2005) extension of Taylor's (2002) original data set, our results are: (1) For most countries, there are periods over which the real exchange rate is stationary and PPP holds, and periods over which the real exchange rate is non-stationary and PPP does not hold, namely, regime-dependent stationarity. Thus, real exchange rate stationarity is a stochastic event itself. (2) The probability that the real exchange rate is stationary is less than 50% for most countries. (3) There is evidence of non-stationarity during both the Bretton Woods and the recent float periods for the majority countries. The comparative performance of PPP is slightly better during Bretton Woods than the recent float.

Date: 2006
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

Downloads: (external link)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1353/mcb.2006.0083 full text (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:1669-1687

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking is currently edited by Robert deYoung, Paul Evans, Pok-Sang Lam and Kenneth D. West

More articles in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking from Blackwell Publishing
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing () and Christopher F. Baum ().