Changes in the Federal Reserve's Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences

Peter Ireland

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, vol. 39, issue 8, 1851-1882

Abstract: This paper estimates a New Keynesian model to draw inferences about the behavior of the Federal Reserve's unobserved inflation target. The results indicate that the target rose from 1 1/4% in 1959 to over 8% in the mid to late 1970s before falling back below 2 1/2% in 2004. The results also provide some support for the hypothesis that over the entire post-war period, Federal Reserve policy has systematically translated short-run price pressures set off by supply-side shocks into more persistent movements in inflation itself, although considerable uncertainty remains about the true source of shifts in the inflation target. Copyright 2007 The Ohio State University.

Date: 2007
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Journal Article: Changes in the Federal Reserve's Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences (2007)
Working Paper: Changes in the Federal Reserve's Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences (2006)
Working Paper: Changes in the Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences (2005)
Working Paper: Changes in the Federal Reserve's inflation target: causes and consequences (2005)
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