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Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Expectations

Ricardo Nunes

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2010, vol. 42, issue 6, 1161-1172

Abstract: This paper estimates the Phillips curve allowing for a simultaneous role of rational and survey expectations. We consider both a reduced form and a structural specification of the Phillips curve. The results suggest that survey expectations can be a statistically significant component of firms' expectations and inflation dynamics. However, rational expectations continue to play a dominant role. Copyright Published 2010. This article is a US Government work and is in the public domain in the USA..

Date: 2010
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