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The Revaluation and Future Adjustment of the Renminbi

Benjamin Everard and Terence Tai Leung Chong

Chinese Economy, 2007, vol. 40, issue 5, 6-20

Abstract: This article examines China's contemporary macroeconomic controls, highlighting the recent currency revaluation. We suggest that the July 2005 revaluation was inadequate in maintaining a level in line with market expectations, and it has had a negligible effect on exports, imports, job growth, investment, and gross domestic product. Justification for the undervaluation is provided. We examine in detail the benefits to China of a one-off appreciation of the renminbi by 15-25 percent, with an increased trading band of +/- 2 to 4 percent.

Date: 2007
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