Peak Energy, Climate Change, and Limits to China's Economic Growth

Minqi Li

Chinese Economy, 2012, vol. 45, issue 1, 74-92

Abstract: This article evaluates the prospects of energy supply and its impact on economic growth in China from now to 2100. After considering the prospects for coal, oil, and gas production, as well as the development potentials of nuclear energy, renewable energies, and energy efficiency, it concludes that China is likely to face irreversible declines of energy consumption and economic output after the mid-twenty-first century. moreover, the projected fossil fuel consumption implies levels of carbon dioxide emissions substantially more than what would be consistent with China's obligations to global climate stabilization.

Date: 2012
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