The German Growth Miracle: A Lesson for Poland?

Jørgen Drud Hansen and Morten Skak

Eastern European Economics, 2004, vol. 42, issue 3, 81-98

Abstract: After the disaster of World War II, the Federal Republic of Germany experienced impressive growth for more than two decades. From a level of per capita income below half of the leading industrial nation, the United States, in 1950, the Federal Republic narrowed the income gap to about 80 percent over the following twenty years. This article discusses the possibilities and needed economic policy for a similar catch-up of Poland's living standards with those of the European Union over the next two decades. The conditions for the German growth miracle in the 1950s and 1960s are analyzed, and structural similarities with and differences from the present Polish economy are identified. It is concluded that no determinism exists. The Polish economy may have the potential for strong growth, but this potential will only be realized if Poland succeeds in creating a growth-promoting environment.

Date: 2004
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