Defining and Dating Bull and Bear Markets: Two Centuries of Evidence

Liliana Gonzalez (), Philip Hoang, John G. Powell Massey and Jing Shi
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Liliana Gonzalez: University of Rhode Island, USA
Philip Hoang: Australian National University, Australia
John G. Powell Massey: University, New Zealand
Jing Shi: Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, China and The Australian National University, Australia

Multinational Finance Journal, 2006, vol. 10, issue 1-2, 81-116

Abstract: A compelling reason for engaging in on-market buy-backs is that it provides a signal about the undervaluation of the company. In this paper an alternative, accounting based, method of determining fundamental value and undervaluation is used, namely the Ohlson residual income valuation framework. It is found that prior to the announcement buy-back companies are significantly undervalued relative to comparable non-buy-back companies. This undervaluation is largely but not totally removed in the period immediately following the on-market buy-back implying on-market buy-backs are predominantly an effective signaling mechanism. Where the firm cites undervaluation as a specific motive for the buy-back then, in fact, a higher degree of undervaluation prior to the buy-back is evident. The results provide evidence that management can, and does, identify undervaluation and reduces this through the signaling mechanism of on-market buy-backs.

Keywords: stock market; bulls and bears; turning point dating (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E32 E44 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mfj:journl:v:10:y:2006:i:1-2:p:81-116

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