Impacts of Government Debt, the Exchange Rate and Other Macroeconomic Variables on Aggregate Output in Croatia

Yu Hsing
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Yu Hsing: Southeastern Louisiana University, USA

Managing Global Transitions, 2016, vol. 14, issue 3 (Fall), 223-231

Abstract: Applying aggregate demand/aggregate supply analysis and based on a quarterly sample during 2000.Q4–2015.Q4, this paper finds that Croatia’s aggregate output is positively associated with government debt as percent of GDP during 2000.Q4–2008.Q4, real appreciation of the kuna, the real stock price, German real GDP, the real oil price and real wages and negatively influenced by government debt as percent of GDP during 2009.Q1–2015.Q4, the real lending rate and the expected inflation rate. The dynamic relationships between real GDP and government debt as percent of GDP suggest that fiscal discipline needs to be exercised in pursuing expansionary macroeconomic policy in the future.

Keywords: exchange rates; government debt; stock prices; oil prices; real wages (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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