Testing The Existence And Stability Of Phillips Curve In Romania

Mihaela Simionescu

Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 2014, vol. 10, issue 1, 67-74

Abstract: The main objective of this study is to check the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for Romania, on the horizon from 1990 to 2013. According to Phillips Perron tests, all the variables are integrated of order 1. ARDL and DOLS approaches to co-integration were used to analyse the Philips relations and ECM to study short run dynamics. There is a negative relation between inflation and unemployment rate in the short run and a positive relationship in the long run in Romania. The tests like recursive residual, CUSUM and CUSUMsq tests confirm that there is a stable Philips relation.

Date: 2014
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