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The short-term effects of Emilia's earthquake on regional economic growth

Guglielmo Barone (), Federica Benni, Cristina Brasili and Sauro Mocetti

Politica economica, 2013, issue 2, 199-214

Abstract: Between May and June 2012 a series of earthquakes occurred in the Po Valley in Emilia, causing deaths and widespread damages to buildings and manufacturing plants. The negative economic consequences include, beyond direct damages, also indirect costs (e.g. economic loss through production chains with the damaged firms). This paper estimates the overall short-term impact on the GDP growth rate of Emilia-Romagna, the mostly affected region. Using a difference-in-differences approach and a coincident indicator of monthly economic cycle, we estimate a 0.2 percentage points reduction of economic growth rate.

Keywords: Earthquake; Economic Growth; Difference-in-Differences. JEL classification: R11; Q54. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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