Opinion: Scaling trajectories of cities

Marc Keuschnigg ()
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Marc Keuschnigg: The Institute for Analytical Sociology, Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University, SE-601 74 Norrköping, Sweden

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2019, vol. 116, issue 28, 13759-13761

Abstract: Urban scaling research finds that agglomeration effects—the higher-than-expected outputs of larger cities—follow robust “superlinear” scaling relations in cross-sectional data. But the paradigm has predictive ambitions involving the dynamic scaling of individual cities over many time points and expects parallel superlinear growth trajectories as cities’ populations grow. This prediction has not yet been rigorously tested. I use geocoded microdata to approximate the city-size effect on per capita wage in 73 Swedish labor market areas for 1990–2012. The data support a superlinear scaling regime for all Swedish agglomerations. Echoing the rich-get-richer process on the system level, however, trajectories of superlinear growth are highly robust only for cities assuming dominant positions in the urban hierarchy.

Keywords: dynamics of cities; spatial inequality; urban scaling; science of cities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nas:journl:v:116:y:2019:p:13759-13761

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