Understanding and managing connected extreme events

Colin Raymond (), Radley M. Horton, Jakob Zscheischler, Olivia Martius, Amir AghaKouchak, Jennifer Balch, Steven G. Bowen, Suzana J. Camargo, Jeremy Hess, Kai Kornhuber, Michael Oppenheimer, Alex C. Ruane, Thomas Wahl and Kathleen White
Additional contact information
Colin Raymond: Jet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology
Radley M. Horton: Columbia University
Jakob Zscheischler: University of Bern
Olivia Martius: University of Bern
Amir AghaKouchak: University of California, Irvine
Jennifer Balch: University of Colorado-Boulder
Steven G. Bowen: Catastrophe Insight Division, Aon
Suzana J. Camargo: Columbia University
Jeremy Hess: University of Washington
Kai Kornhuber: Columbia University
Michael Oppenheimer: Princeton University
Alex C. Ruane: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Thomas Wahl: University of Central Florida
Kathleen White: United States Army Corps of Engineers

Nature Climate Change, 2020, vol. 10, issue 7, 611-621

Abstract: Abstract Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decision-making structures—together with population exposure and vulnerability—create nonphysical interconnections among events by linking their impacts, to positive or negative effect. Various anthropogenic actions can also directly affect the severity of events, further complicating these feedback loops. Such relationships are rarely characterized or considered in physical-sciences-based research contexts. Here, we present a multidisciplinary argument for the concept of connected extreme events, and we suggest vantage points and approaches for producing climate information useful in guiding decisions about them.

Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4

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