Soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks mitigate declining water availability in drylands
Sha Zhou (),
A. Park Williams,
Benjamin R. Lintner,
Alexis M. Berg,
Yao Zhang,
Trevor F. Keenan,
Benjamin I. Cook,
Stefan Hagemann,
Sonia I. Seneviratne and
Pierre Gentine
Additional contact information
Sha Zhou: Columbia University
A. Park Williams: Columbia University
Benjamin R. Lintner: Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
Alexis M. Berg: Harvard University
Yao Zhang: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Trevor F. Keenan: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Benjamin I. Cook: Columbia University
Stefan Hagemann: Institute of Coastal Research
Sonia I. Seneviratne: ETH Zurich
Pierre Gentine: Columbia University
Nature Climate Change, 2021, vol. 11, issue 1, 38-44
Abstract:
Abstract Global warming alters surface water availability (precipitation minus evapotranspiration, P–E) and hence freshwater resources. However, the influence of land–atmosphere feedbacks on future P–E changes and the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Here we demonstrate that soil moisture (SM) strongly impacts future P–E changes, especially in drylands, by regulating evapotranspiration and atmospheric moisture inflow. Using modelling and empirical approaches, we find a consistent negative SM feedback on P–E, which may offset ~60% of the decline in dryland P–E otherwise expected in the absence of SM feedbacks. The negative feedback is not caused by atmospheric thermodynamic responses to declining SM; rather, reduced SM, in addition to limiting evapotranspiration, regulates atmospheric circulation and vertical ascent to enhance moisture transport into drylands. This SM effect is a large source of uncertainty in projected dryland P–E changes, underscoring the need to better constrain future SM changes and improve the representation of SM–atmosphere processes in models.
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-020-00945-z
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00945-z
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