Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere

Yichen Zhang, Shilong Piao (), Yan Sun, Brendan M. Rogers, Xiangyi Li, Xu Lian, Zhihua Liu, Anping Chen and Josep Peñuelas
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Yichen Zhang: Peking University
Shilong Piao: Peking University
Yan Sun: Ocean University of China
Brendan M. Rogers: Woodwell Climate Research Center
Xiangyi Li: Peking University
Xu Lian: Peking University
Zhihua Liu: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Anping Chen: Colorado State University
Josep Peñuelas: CREAF, Cerdanyola del Valles

Nature Climate Change, 2022, vol. 12, issue 6, 581-586

Abstract: Abstract Climatic warming has greatly increased vegetation productivity in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere since the 1980s, but how long this positive relationship will continue remains unknown. Here we show changes in the effect of warming on Northern Hemisphere summer gross primary productivity for 2001–2100 using Earth system model outputs. The correlation between summer gross primary productivity and temperature decreases in temperate and boreal regions by the late twenty-first century, generally becoming significantly negative before 2070 in regions

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01374-w

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