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A net-zero target compels a backward induction approach to climate policy

Geoffroy Dolphin (), Michael Pahle, Dallas Burtraw and Mirjam Kosch
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Geoffroy Dolphin: Resources for the Future
Michael Pahle: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Dallas Burtraw: Resources for the Future
Mirjam Kosch: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Nature Climate Change, 2023, vol. 13, issue 10, 1033-1041

Abstract: Abstract Jurisdictions worldwide increasingly affirm their contributions to the Paris Agreement by pledging net-zero targets. We argue that delivering on net-zero targets compels a backward induction approach to climate policy, which stipulates that maximizing credibility should be the objective of policy pathways design. This implies choosing policies that strike a suitable balance between building commitment and attaining cost efficiency. Our argument rests on the premise that private investments play a key role for net zero, and that getting expectations right—through credible commitment to a policy pathway—is more relevant than getting the prices right to align the investments with net zero. We sketch the main elements for a regulatory strategy to put this approach into action.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01798-y

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