Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system

Teng Liu, Dean Chen, Lan Yang, Jun Meng, Zanchenling Wang, Josef Ludescher, Jingfang Fan (), Saini Yang (), Deliang Chen, Jürgen Kurths, Xiaosong Chen (), Shlomo Havlin and Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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Teng Liu: Beijing Normal University
Dean Chen: Beijing Normal University
Lan Yang: Beijing Normal University
Jun Meng: Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
Zanchenling Wang: Peking University
Josef Ludescher: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Jingfang Fan: Beijing Normal University
Saini Yang: Beijing Normal University
Deliang Chen: University of Gothenburg
Jürgen Kurths: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Xiaosong Chen: Beijing Normal University
Shlomo Havlin: Bar Ilan University
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Nature Climate Change, 2023, vol. 13, issue 1, 67-74

Abstract: Abstract Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.

Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4

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