Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

Joeri Rogelj (), Malte Meinshausen and Reto Knutti
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Joeri Rogelj: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
Malte Meinshausen: PRIMAP Group, Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Reto Knutti: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science

Nature Climate Change, 2012, vol. 2, issue 4, 248-253

Abstract: Models and scenarios on which climate projection are based vary between IPCC reports. To facilitate meaningful comparison, this study provides probabilistic climate projections for different scenarios in a single consistent framework, incorporating the overall consensus understanding of the uncertainty in climate sensitivity, and constrained by the observed historical warming.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1385

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