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Shortcomings in wheat yield predictions

Mikhail A. Semenov (), Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry
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Mikhail A. Semenov: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
Rowan A. C. Mitchell: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
Andrew P. Whitmore: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
Malcolm J. Hawkesford: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
Martin A. J. Parry: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
Peter R. Shewry: Mikhail A. Semenov, Rowan A. C. Mitchell, Andrew P. Whitmore, Malcolm J. Hawkesford, Martin A. J. Parry and Peter R. Shewry are at Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK

Nature Climate Change, 2012, vol. 2, issue 6, 380-382

Abstract: Predictions of a 40–140% increase in wheat yield by 2050, reported in the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment, are based on a simplistic approach that ignores key factors affecting yields and hence are seriously misleading.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1511

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