Focus on poleward shifts in species' distribution underestimates the fingerprint of climate change

Jeremy VanDerWal (), Helen T. Murphy, Alex S. Kutt, Genevieve C. Perkins, Brooke L. Bateman (), Justin J. Perry and April E. Reside
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Jeremy VanDerWal: Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University
Helen T. Murphy: CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences
Alex S. Kutt: CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, PMB PO
Genevieve C. Perkins: CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, PMB PO
Brooke L. Bateman: Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University
Justin J. Perry: CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, PMB PO
April E. Reside: Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University

Nature Climate Change, 2013, vol. 3, issue 3, 239-243

Abstract: Species are largely predicted to shift polewards as global temperatures increase. Now research—based on historical changes in the distribution of Australian birds—shows that if only poleward shifts in distribution are considered, the fingerprint of climate change is underestimated by an average of 26% in temperate regions and 95% in tropical regions.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1688

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