Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

Reto Knutti () and Jan Sedláček
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Reto Knutti: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
Jan Sedláček: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science

Nature Climate Change, 2013, vol. 3, issue 4, 369-373

Abstract: Updated models are being used for the new assessment report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. This study compares projections from the latest models with those from earlier versions. The spread of results has not changed significantly, and some of the spread will always remain due to the internal variability of the climate system. As models improve, they are able to represent more processes in greater detail, allowing for greater confidence in their projections, in spite of model spread.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1716

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