Uncertainty in temperature projections reduced using carbon cycle and climate observations

Roger W. Bodman (), Peter J. Rayner and David J. Karoly
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Roger W. Bodman: The University of Melbourne
Peter J. Rayner: The University of Melbourne
David J. Karoly: The University of Melbourne

Nature Climate Change, 2013, vol. 3, issue 8, 725-729

Abstract: The response of the carbon cycle to climate change, including carbon fluxes, is now shown to be the second largest source of uncertainty in projections of temperature. A simplified climate model using temperature records and historical estimates of CO2 concentrations demonstrates that considering these two factors together reduces uncertainty further than treating them as individual parameters.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1903

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