September Arctic sea-ice minimum predicted by spring melt-pond fraction

David Schröder (), Daniel L. Feltham, Daniela Flocco and Michel Tsamados
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David Schröder: CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Daniel L. Feltham: CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Daniela Flocco: CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Michel Tsamados: CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK

Nature Climate Change, 2014, vol. 4, issue 5, 353-357

Abstract: Prediction of seasonal Arctic sea-ice extent is of increased interest as the region opens up due to climate change. This work uses spring melt-pond area to forecast the Arctic sea-ice minimum in September. This proves accurate, as increasing melt-ponds reduce surface albedo, allowing more melt to occur, creating a positive feedback mechanism.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2203

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