Response of El Niño sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming

Seon Tae Kim (), Wenju Cai (), Fei-Fei Jin, Agus Santoso, Lixin Wu, Eric Guilyardi and Soon-Il An
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Seon Tae Kim: CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
Wenju Cai: CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
Fei-Fei Jin: University of Hawaii at Manoa
Agus Santoso: ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales
Lixin Wu: Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China
Eric Guilyardi: LOCEAN, IPSL
Soon-Il An: Yonsei University

Nature Climate Change, 2014, vol. 4, issue 9, 786-790

Abstract: The impacts of climate change on certain aspects of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have been established. However, the change in sea surface temperature, commonly used to represent ENSO amplitude, remained uncertain. Now, the sea surface response is shown to be time-varying, with an increasing trend to 2040 followed by a decreasing trend. The previous uncertainty is attributed to the expectation of unidirectional behaviour and unrealistic model representations.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2326

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