Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming

Wenju Cai (), Guojian Wang, Agus Santoso, Michael J. McPhaden, Lixin Wu, Fei-Fei Jin, Axel Timmermann, Mat Collins, Gabriel Vecchi, Matthieu Lengaigne, Matthew H. England, Dietmar Dommenget, Ken Takahashi and Eric Guilyardi
Additional contact information
Wenju Cai: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Aspendale
Guojian Wang: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Aspendale
Agus Santoso: Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales
Michael J. McPhaden: NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle
Lixin Wu: Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China
Fei-Fei Jin: SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu
Axel Timmermann: SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu
Mat Collins: College of Engineering Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Harrison Building, Streatham Campus, University of Exeter
Gabriel Vecchi: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton
Matthieu Lengaigne: Laboratoire d’Océanographie et du Climat: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IRD/UPMC/CNRS/MNHN
Matthew H. England: Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales
Dietmar Dommenget: School of Mathematical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton
Ken Takahashi: Instituto Geofísico del Perú
Eric Guilyardi: Laboratoire d’Océanographie et du Climat: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IRD/UPMC/CNRS/MNHN

Nature Climate Change, 2015, vol. 5, issue 2, 132-137

Abstract: Extreme La Niña events occur when cold sea surface temperatures across the central Pacific Ocean create a strong temperature gradient to the Maritime continent in the west. This work projects an increase in frequency of La Niña events due to faster land warming relative to the ocean, and a greater chance of them occurring following extreme El Niño events.

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2492

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