Causal feedbacks in climate change

Egbert H. van Nes (), Marten Scheffer, Victor Brovkin, Timothy M. Lenton, Hao Ye, Ethan Deyle and George Sugihara ()
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Egbert H. van Nes: Environmental Sciences Group, Wageningen University
Marten Scheffer: Environmental Sciences Group, Wageningen University
Victor Brovkin: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg
Timothy M. Lenton: Earth System Science Group, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter
Hao Ye: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California
Ethan Deyle: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California
George Sugihara: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California

Nature Climate Change, 2015, vol. 5, issue 5, 445-448

Abstract: Although the correlation between greenhouse gases and temperature is well documented, it is difficult to show causality from the data. This study uses insight from dynamical systems theory to show that internal Earth system mechanisms largely control climate dynamics, rather than orbital forcing, and temperature does have a reinforcing feedback on greenhouse-gas concentrations.

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2568

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