Multi-scale predictions of massive conifer mortality due to chronic temperature rise

N. G. McDowell (), A. P. Williams, C. Xu, W. T. Pockman, L. T. Dickman, S. Sevanto, R. Pangle, J. Limousin, J. Plaut, D. S. Mackay, J. Ogee, J. C. Domec, C. D. Allen, R. A. Fisher, X. Jiang, J. D. Muss, D. D. Breshears, S. A. Rauscher and C. Koven
Additional contact information
N. G. McDowell: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
A. P. Williams: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
C. Xu: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
W. T. Pockman: University of New Mexico
L. T. Dickman: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
S. Sevanto: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
R. Pangle: University of New Mexico
J. Limousin: University of New Mexico
J. Plaut: University of New Mexico
D. S. Mackay: University at Buffalo
J. Ogee: UMR 1391 ISPA, INRA-Bordeaux Sciences Agro
J. C. Domec: UMR 1391 ISPA, INRA-Bordeaux Sciences Agro
C. D. Allen: US Geological Survey, Fort Collins Science Center
R. A. Fisher: National Center for Atmospheric Research
X. Jiang: National Center for Atmospheric Research
J. D. Muss: MS-J495, Los Alamos National Lab
D. D. Breshears: School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona
S. A. Rauscher: University of Delaware
C. Koven: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab

Nature Climate Change, 2016, vol. 6, issue 3, 295-300

Abstract: Research integrating experimental data and modelling to improve representation of plant physiological thresholds infers largely temperature-driven loss of conifer trees by 2100 across the southwestern USA and much of the Northern Hemisphere.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2873

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