Western Pacific emergent constraint lowers projected increase in Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Gen Li (), Shang-Ping Xie, Chao He and Zesheng Chen
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Gen Li: State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Shang-Ping Xie: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego
Chao He: Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology (ITMM), China Meteorological Administration (CMA)
Zesheng Chen: State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Nature Climate Change, 2017, vol. 7, issue 10, 708-712

Abstract: Climate models typically predict an increase in Indian summer monsoon rainfall with anthropogenic warming. Correcting for precipitation biases in the tropical western Pacific using an emergent constraint methodology, however, reduces the magnitude of these increases by ∼50%.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3387

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