Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates

Jiawei Bao (), Steven C. Sherwood (), Lisa V. Alexander and Jason P. Evans
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Jiawei Bao: Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales
Steven C. Sherwood: Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales
Lisa V. Alexander: Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales
Jason P. Evans: Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales

Nature Climate Change, 2017, vol. 7, issue 2, 128-132

Abstract: Extreme rainfall is predicted to increase with warming; however observations show differing rates of change. This study shows rainfall-associated cooling reduces the observed scaling rate. Projections show increased scaling rates in the future particularly for the strongest extremes.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3201

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