COP21 climate negotiators’ responses to climate model forecasts

Valentina Bosetti, Elke Weber, Loïc Berger, David V. Budescu, Ning Liu and Massimo Tavoni
Additional contact information
Elke Weber: Princeton University
David V. Budescu: Fordham University
Ning Liu: Bocconi University
Massimo Tavoni: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Nature Climate Change, 2017, vol. 7, issue 3, 185-190

Abstract: Communicating climate science requires depicting uncertainty. This study shows that the tendency for COP21 policymakers to assign model forecasts less weight than their prior beliefs when making predictions is mitigated by presenting individual model forecasts with the statistical range.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3208

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