Emergent constraints on projections of declining primary production in the tropical oceans

Lester Kwiatkowski (), Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Philippe Ciais, Peter M. Cox, Charlotte Laufkötter, Yue Li and Roland Séférian
Additional contact information
Lester Kwiatkowski: Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ
Laurent Bopp: Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ
Olivier Aumont: Laboratoire d’Océanographie et de Climatologie: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IPSL, CNRS/UPMC/IRD/MNHN
Philippe Ciais: Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ
Peter M. Cox: College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter
Charlotte Laufkötter: NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University
Yue Li: Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University
Roland Séférian: Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), Météo-France/CNRS

Nature Climate Change, 2017, vol. 7, issue 5, 355-358

Abstract: Emergent constraints on tropical marine primary production increase confidence in a long-term decrease in primary productivity in response to rising sea surface temperatures. The most extreme projected declines in productivity are, however, unlikely.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3265

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