Committed warming inferred from observations

Thorsten Mauritsen () and Robert Pincus
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Thorsten Mauritsen: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Robert Pincus: University of Colorado

Nature Climate Change, 2017, vol. 7, issue 9, 652-655

Abstract: Even if fossil-fuel emissions were to cease immediately, continued anthropogenic warming is expected. Here, observation-based estimates indicate there is a 13% risk that committed warming already exceeds the 1.5 K Paris target.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3357

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