Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics

Matthew Collins (), Shoshiro Minobe, Marcelo Barreiro, Simona Bordoni, Yohai Kaspi, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida, Noel Keenlyside, Elisa Manzini, Christopher H. O’Reilly, Rowan Sutton, Shang-Ping Xie and Olga Zolina
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Matthew Collins: University of Exeter
Shoshiro Minobe: Hokkaido University
Marcelo Barreiro: Facultad de Ciencias — Universidad de la República
Simona Bordoni: California Institute of Technology
Yohai Kaspi: Weizmann Institute of Science
Akira Kuwano-Yoshida: Kyoto University
Noel Keenlyside: University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research
Elisa Manzini: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie
Christopher H. O’Reilly: University of Oxford
Rowan Sutton: University of Reading
Shang-Ping Xie: University of California San Diego
Olga Zolina: L’Université Grenoble Alpes

Nature Climate Change, 2018, vol. 8, issue 2, 101-108

Abstract: Abstract Dynamical processes in the atmosphere and ocean are central to determining the large-scale drivers of regional climate change, yet their predictive understanding is poor. Here, we identify three frontline challenges in climate dynamics where significant progress can be made to inform adaptation: response of storms, blocks and jet streams to external forcing; basin-to-basin and tropical–extratropical teleconnections; and the development of non-linear predictive theory. We highlight opportunities and techniques for making immediate progress in these areas, which critically involve the development of high-resolution coupled model simulations, partial coupling or pacemaker experiments, as well as the development and use of dynamical metrics and exploitation of hierarchies of models.

Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8

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