Alternatives to genetic affinity as a context for within-species response to climate

Adam B. Smith, Erik A. Beever (), Aimee E. Kessler, Aaron N. Johnston, Chris Ray, Clinton W. Epps, Hayley C. Lanier, Rob C. Klinger, Thomas J. Rodhouse, Johanna Varner, John D. Perrine, Amy Seglund, L. Embere Hall, Kurt Galbreath, Chris MacGlover, Peter Billman, Gretchen Blatz, Jason Brewer, Jessica Castillo Vardaro, Anna D. Chalfoun, Gail Collins, April Craighead, Chris Curlis, Christopher Daly, Daniel F. Doak, Mitch East, Mark Edwards, Liesl Erb, Kristina A. Ernest, Brian Fauver, Kerry R. Foresman, Ken Goehring, Joan Hagar, Charles L. Hayes, Philippe Henry, Kimberly Hersey, Shannon L. Hilty, Jim Jacobson, Mackenzie R. Jeffress, Tom Manning, Amy Masching, Bryce Maxell, Rayo McCollough, Corrie McFarland, Eric Miskow, Toni Lyn Morelli, Lucas Moyer-Horner, Megan Mueller, Martin Nugent, Beth Pratt, Mary Rasmussen-Flores, Tom H. Rickman, Hillary Robison, Arthur Rodriguez, Karen Rowe, Kevin Rowe, Michael A. Russello, Vicki Saab, Angie Schmidt, Joseph A. E. Stewart, James N. Stuart, Leona K. Svancara, Will Thompson, Julie Timmins, Gregg Treinish, Matthew D. Waterhouse, Marie L. Westover, Jennifer Wilkening and Leah Yandow
Additional contact information
Adam B. Smith: Missouri Botanical Garden
Erik A. Beever: US Geological Survey
Aimee E. Kessler: Missouri Botanical Garden
Aaron N. Johnston: US Geological Survey
Chris Ray: University of Colorado
Clinton W. Epps: Oregon State University
Hayley C. Lanier: University of Oklahoma
Rob C. Klinger: US Geological Survey
Thomas J. Rodhouse: National Park Service Inventory and Monitoring Program
Johanna Varner: Colorado Mesa University
John D. Perrine: California Polytechnic State University
Amy Seglund: Colorado Parks and Wildlife
L. Embere Hall: University of Wyoming & Wyoming Game and Fish Department
Kurt Galbreath: Northern Michigan University
Chris MacGlover: University of Wyoming
Peter Billman: Montana State University
Gretchen Blatz: Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife
Jason Brewer: US Forest Service
Jessica Castillo Vardaro: San José State University
Anna D. Chalfoun: US Geological Survey
Gail Collins: US Fish and Wildlife Service
April Craighead: Craighead Institute
Chris Curlis: California Department of Fish and Wildlife
Christopher Daly: Oregon State University
Daniel F. Doak: University of Colorado, Boulder
Mitch East: Georgia Department of Natural Resources
Mark Edwards: Royal Alberta Museum
Liesl Erb: Warren Wilson College
Kristina A. Ernest: Central Washington University
Brian Fauver: Denver Zoo
Kerry R. Foresman: University of Montana
Ken Goehring: College of the Siskiyous
Joan Hagar: US Geological Survey
Charles L. Hayes: New Mexico Department of Game and Fish
Philippe Henry: University of Northern British Columbia
Kimberly Hersey: Utah Division of Wildlife Resources
Shannon L. Hilty: Montana State University
Mackenzie R. Jeffress: Nevada Department of Wildlife
Tom Manning: Oregon State University
Amy Masching: Denver Zoo
Bryce Maxell: Montana Natural Heritage Program
Rayo McCollough: University of New Mexico
Corrie McFarland: US Forest Service
Eric Miskow: Nevada Natural Heritage Program
Toni Lyn Morelli: US Geological Survey
Lucas Moyer-Horner: University of Utah
Megan Mueller: Rocky Mountain Wild
Martin Nugent: Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
Beth Pratt: National Wildlife Federation
Mary Rasmussen-Flores: US Forest Service
Tom H. Rickman: US Forest Service
Hillary Robison: National Park Service
Arthur Rodriguez: Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
Karen Rowe: Museums Victoria
Kevin Rowe: Museums Victoria
Michael A. Russello: University of British Columbia
Vicki Saab: US Forest Service
Angie Schmidt: Idaho Department of Fish and Game
Joseph A. E. Stewart: University of California
James N. Stuart: New Mexico Department of Game and Fish
Leona K. Svancara: Idaho Department of Fish and Game
Will Thompson: Montana State University
Julie Timmins: Parks Canada
Gregg Treinish: Adventure Scientists
Matthew D. Waterhouse: University of British Columbia
Marie L. Westover: University of New Mexico
Jennifer Wilkening: US Fish and Wildlife Service
Leah Yandow: Bureau of Land Management

Nature Climate Change, 2019, vol. 9, issue 10, 787-794

Abstract: Abstract Accounting for within-species variability in the relationship between occurrence and climate is essential to forecasting species’ responses to climate change. Few climate-vulnerability assessments explicitly consider intraspecific variation, and those that do typically assume that variability is best explained by genetic affinity. Here, we evaluate how well heterogeneity in responses to climate by a cold-adapted mammal, the American pika (Ochotona princeps), aligns with subdivisions of the geographic range by phylogenetic lineage, physiography, elevation or ecoregion. We find that variability in climate responses is most consistently explained by an ecoregional subdivision paired with background sites selected from a broad spatial extent indicative of long-term (millennial-scale) responses to climate. Our work challenges the common assumption that intraspecific variation in climate responses aligns with genetic affinity. Accounting for the appropriate context and scale of heterogeneity in species’ responses to climate will be critical for informing climate-adaptation management strategies at the local (spatial) extents at which such actions are typically implemented.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0584-8

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