Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target

Stefan Frank (), Peter Havlik, Elke Stehfest, Hans Meijl, Peter Witzke, Ignacio Pérez-Domínguez, Michiel Dijk, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, Jason F. L. Koopman, Andrzej Tabeau and Hugo Valin
Additional contact information
Stefan Frank: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Elke Stehfest: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Hans Meijl: Wageningen Economic Research
Peter Witzke: University of Bonn
Ignacio Pérez-Domínguez: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Michiel Dijk: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Jonathan C. Doelman: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Jason F. L. Koopman: Wageningen Economic Research
Andrzej Tabeau: Wageningen Economic Research
Hugo Valin: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Nature Climate Change, 2019, vol. 9, issue 1, 66-72

Abstract: Abstract Agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions represent around 10–12% of total anthropogenic GHG emissions and have a key role to play in achieving a 1.5 °C (above pre-industrial) climate stabilization target. Using a multi-model assessment approach, we quantify the potential contribution of agriculture to the 1.5 °C target and decompose the mitigation potential by emission source, region and mitigation mechanism. The results show that the livestock sector will be vital to achieve emission reductions consistent with the 1.5 °C target mainly through emission-reducing technologies or structural changes. Agriculture may contribute emission reductions of 0.8–1.4 Gt of CO2-equivalent (CO2e) yr−1 at just US$20 per tCO2e in 2050. Combined with dietary changes, emission reductions can be increased to 1.7–1.8 GtCO2e yr−1. At carbon prices compatible with the 1.5 °C target, agriculture could even provide average emission savings of 3.9 GtCO2e yr−1 in 2050, which represents around 8% of current GHG emissions.

Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0358-8 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcli:v:9:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-018-0358-8

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.nature.com/nclimate/

DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0358-8

Access Statistics for this article

Nature Climate Change is currently edited by Bronwyn Wake

More articles in Nature Climate Change from Nature
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().