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Coulomb pre-stress and fault bends are ignored yet vital factors for earthquake triggering and hazard

Z. K. Mildon (), G. P. Roberts, J. P. Faure Walker and S. Toda
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Z. K. Mildon: University of Plymouth
G. P. Roberts: Birkbeck, University of London
J. P. Faure Walker: University College London
S. Toda: Tohoku University

Nature Communications, 2019, vol. 10, issue 1, 1-9

Abstract: Abstract Successive locations of individual large earthquakes (Mw > 5.5) over years to centuries can be difficult to explain with simple Coulomb stress transfer (CST) because it is common for seismicity to circumvent nearest-neighbour along-strike faults where coseismic CST is greatest. We demonstrate that Coulomb pre-stress (the cumulative CST from multiple earthquakes and interseismic loading on non-planar faults) may explain this, evidenced by study of a 667-year historical record of earthquakes in central Italy. Heterogeneity in Coulomb pre-stresses across the fault system is >±50 bars, whereas coseismic CST is

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-10520-6

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