Simplicity lacks robustness when projecting heat-health outcomes in a changing climate

Jennifer K. Vanos (), Jane W. Baldwin, Ollie Jay and Kristie L. Ebi
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Jennifer K. Vanos: Arizona State University, School of Sustainability
Jane W. Baldwin: Columbia University
Ollie Jay: Thermal Ergonomics Laboratory, Faculty of Medicine and Health
Kristie L. Ebi: University of Washington

Nature Communications, 2020, vol. 11, issue 1, 1-5

Abstract: Extreme heat adversely affects human health, productivity, and well-being, with more frequent and intense heatwaves projected to increase exposures. However, current risk projections oversimplify critical inter-individual factors of human thermoregulation, resulting in unreliable and unrealistic estimates of future adverse health outcomes.

Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19994-1

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