Shallow slow earthquakes to decipher future catastrophic earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap

R. Plata-Martinez (), S. Ide, M. Shinohara, E. S. Garcia, N. Mizuno, L. A. Dominguez, T. Taira, Y. Yamashita, A. Toh, T. Yamada, J. Real, A. Husker, V. M. Cruz-Atienza and Y. Ito
Additional contact information
R. Plata-Martinez: Kyoto University
S. Ide: The University of Tokyo
M. Shinohara: Tokyo University
E. S. Garcia: Kyoto University
N. Mizuno: The University of Tokyo
L. A. Dominguez: Escuela Nacional de Estudios Superiores Unidad Morelia, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
T. Taira: UC Berkeley Seismological Lab, University of California
Y. Yamashita: Kyoto University
A. Toh: The University of Tokyo
T. Yamada: Tokyo University
J. Real: Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
A. Husker: Seismological Laboratory, Caltech
V. M. Cruz-Atienza: Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Y. Ito: Kyoto University

Nature Communications, 2021, vol. 12, issue 1, 1-8

Abstract: Abstract The Guerrero seismic gap is presumed to be a major source of seismic and tsunami hazard along the Mexican subduction zone. Until recently, there were limited observations at the shallow portion of the plate interface offshore Guerrero, so we deployed instruments there to better characterize the extent of the seismogenic zone. Here we report the discovery of episodic shallow tremors and potential slow slip events in Guerrero offshore. Their distribution, together with that of repeating earthquakes, seismicity, residual gravity and bathymetry, suggest that a portion of the shallow plate interface in the gap undergoes stable slip. This mechanical condition may not only explain the long return period of large earthquakes inside the gap, but also reveals why the rupture from past M

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24210-9

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