Tropical volcanism enhanced the East Asian summer monsoon during the last millennium

Fei Liu, Chaochao Gao (), Jing Chai, Alan Robock, Bin Wang (), Jinbao Li, Xu Zhang, Gang Huang and Wenjie Dong
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Fei Liu: and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory
Chaochao Gao: Zhejiang University
Jing Chai: Chengdu University of Information Technology
Alan Robock: Rutgers University
Bin Wang: University of Hawaii at Manoa
Jinbao Li: University of Hong Kong
Xu Zhang: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Gang Huang: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Wenjie Dong: and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory

Nature Communications, 2022, vol. 13, issue 1, 1-7

Abstract: Abstract Extreme East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) rainfall frequently induces floods that threaten millions of people, and has been generally attributed to internal climate variability. In contrast to the hydrological weakening theory of volcanic eruptions, here we present convergent empirical and modeling evidence for significant intensification of EASM rainfall in response to strong tropical volcanic eruptions. Our multi-proxy analyses show a significantly increased EASM in the first summer after tropical eruptions from 1470 AD to the present, and the more frequent occurrence of El Niños in the first boreal winter after eruptions is necessary for the enhanced EASM. Model simulation ensembles show that a volcano-induced El Niño and the associated stronger than non-volcanic El Niño warm pool air-sea interaction intensify EASM precipitation, overwhelming volcanic-induced moisture deficiency. This work sheds light on the intertwined relationship between external forcing and internal climate variability and potential flood disasters resulting from tropical volcanic eruptions.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31108-7

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