Global patterns of climate change impacts on desert bird communities
Liang Ma (),
Shannon R. Conradie,
Christopher L. Crawford,
Alexandra S. Gardner,
Michael R. Kearney,
Ilya M. D. Maclean,
Andrew E. McKechnie,
Chun-Rong Mi,
Rebecca A. Senior and
David S. Wilcove
Additional contact information
Liang Ma: Princeton University
Shannon R. Conradie: South African National Biodiversity Institute
Christopher L. Crawford: Princeton University
Alexandra S. Gardner: University of Exeter Penryn Campus
Michael R. Kearney: The University of Melbourne
Ilya M. D. Maclean: University of Exeter Penryn Campus
Andrew E. McKechnie: South African National Biodiversity Institute
Chun-Rong Mi: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Rebecca A. Senior: Princeton University
David S. Wilcove: Princeton University
Nature Communications, 2023, vol. 14, issue 1, 1-10
Abstract:
Abstract The world’s warm deserts are predicted to experience disproportionately large temperature increases due to climate change, yet the impacts on global desert biodiversity remain poorly understood. Because species in warm deserts live close to their physiological limits, additional warming may induce local extinctions. Here, we combine climate change projections with biophysical models and species distributions to predict physiological impacts of climate change on desert birds globally. Our results show heterogeneous impacts between and within warm deserts. Moreover, spatial patterns of physiological impacts do not simply mirror air temperature changes. Climate change refugia, defined as warm desert areas with high avian diversity and low predicted physiological impacts, are predicted to persist in varying extents in different desert realms. Only a small proportion (
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-35814-8
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-35814-8
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