Sea level rise from West Antarctic mass loss significantly modified by large snowfall anomalies

Benjamin J. Davison (), Anna E. Hogg, Richard Rigby, Sanne Veldhuijsen, Jan Melchior Wessem, Michiel R. Broeke, Paul R. Holland, Heather L. Selley and Pierre Dutrieux
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Benjamin J. Davison: University of Leeds
Anna E. Hogg: University of Leeds
Richard Rigby: University of Leeds
Sanne Veldhuijsen: Utrecht University
Jan Melchior Wessem: Utrecht University
Michiel R. Broeke: Utrecht University
Paul R. Holland: British Antarctic Survey
Heather L. Selley: University of Leeds
Pierre Dutrieux: British Antarctic Survey

Nature Communications, 2023, vol. 14, issue 1, 1-13

Abstract: Abstract Mass loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is dominated by glaciers draining into the Amundsen Sea Embayment (ASE), yet the impact of anomalous precipitation on the mass balance of the ASE is poorly known. Here we present a 25-year (1996–2021) record of ASE input-output mass balance and evaluate how two periods of anomalous precipitation affected its sea level contribution. Since 1996, the ASE has lost 3331 ± 424 Gt ice, contributing 9.2 ± 1.2 mm to global sea level. Overall, surface mass balance anomalies contributed little (7.7%) to total mass loss; however, two anomalous precipitation events had larger, albeit short-lived, impacts on rates of mass change. During 2009–2013, persistently low snowfall led to an additional 51 ± 4 Gt yr−1 mass loss in those years (contributing positively to the total loss of 195 ± 4 Gt yr−1). Contrastingly, extreme precipitation in the winters of 2019 and 2020 decreased mass loss by 60 ± 16 Gt yr−1 during those years (contributing negatively to the total loss of 107 ± 15 Gt yr−1). These results emphasise the important impact of extreme snowfall variability on the short-term sea level contribution from West Antarctica.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-36990-3

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