Early indicators of tidal ecosystem shifts in estuaries

Gregory S. Fivash (), Stijn Temmerman, Maarten G. Kleinhans, Maike Heuner, Tjisse Heide and Tjeerd J. Bouma
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Gregory S. Fivash: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
Stijn Temmerman: University of Antwerp
Maarten G. Kleinhans: Utrecht University
Maike Heuner: Federal Institute of Hydrology
Tjisse Heide: University of Groningen
Tjeerd J. Bouma: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research

Nature Communications, 2023, vol. 14, issue 1, 1-11

Abstract: Abstract Forecasting transitions between tidal ecosystem states, such as between bare tidal flats and vegetated marshes, is crucial because it may imply the irreversible loss of valuable ecosystem services. In this study, we combine geospatial analyses of three European estuaries with a simple numerical model to demonstrate that the development of micro-topographic patterning on tidal flats is an early indicator of marsh establishment. We first show that the development of micro-topographic patterns precedes vegetation establishment, and that patterns tend to form only on tidal flats with a slope of

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37444-6

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