Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales

Timothy M. Lenton (), Jesse F. Abrams, Annett Bartsch, Sebastian Bathiany, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Alessandra Conversi, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Sophie Hebden, Thomas Lavergne, Benjamin Poulter, Andrew Shepherd, Taylor Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann and Niklas Boers
Additional contact information
Timothy M. Lenton: University of Exeter
Jesse F. Abrams: University of Exeter
Annett Bartsch: b.geos GmbH, Industriestrasse 1A
Sebastian Bathiany: Technical University of Munich
Chris A. Boulton: University of Exeter
Joshua E. Buxton: University of Exeter
Alessandra Conversi: National Research Council of Italy, ISMAR-Lerici, Forte Santa Teresa, Loc. Pozzuolo
Andrew M. Cunliffe: University of Exeter
Sophie Hebden: Future Earth Secretariat
Thomas Lavergne: Norwegian Meteorological Institute
Benjamin Poulter: NASA Goddard Space Flight Centre
Andrew Shepherd: Northumbria University
Taylor Smith: University of Potsdam
Didier Swingedouw: University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805
Ricarda Winkelmann: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Niklas Boers: University of Exeter

Nature Communications, 2024, vol. 15, issue 1, 1-15

Abstract: Abstract Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warning of tipping points, complementary spatial indicators can leverage the exceptional spatial-temporal coverage of remotely sensed data to detect changing resilience of vulnerable systems. Combining Earth observation with Earth system models can improve process-based understanding of tipping points, their interactions, and potential tipping cascades. Such fine-resolution sensing can support climate tipping point risk management across scales.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w

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