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Cross-basin and cross-taxa patterns of marine community tropicalization and deborealization in warming European seas

Guillem Chust (), Ernesto Villarino, Matthew McLean, Nova Mieszkowska, Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi, Fabio Bulleri, Chiara Ravaglioli, Angel Borja, Iñigo Muxika, José A. Fernandes-Salvador, Leire Ibaibarriaga, Ainhize Uriarte, Marta Revilla, Fernando Villate, Arantza Iriarte, Ibon Uriarte, Soultana Zervoudaki, Jacob Carstensen, Paul J. Somerfield, Ana M. Queirós, Andrea J. McEvoy, Arnaud Auber, Manuel Hidalgo, Marta Coll, Joaquim Garrabou, Daniel Gómez-Gras, Cristina Linares, Francisco Ramírez, Núria Margarit, Mario Lepage, Chloé Dambrine, Jérémy Lobry, Myron A. Peck, Paula Barra, Anieke Leeuwen, Gil Rilov, Erez Yeruham, Anik Brind’Amour and Martin Lindegren
Additional contact information
Guillem Chust: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Ernesto Villarino: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Matthew McLean: University of North Carolina Wilmington
Nova Mieszkowska: Plymouth
Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi: CoNISMa
Fabio Bulleri: CoNISMa
Chiara Ravaglioli: CoNISMa
Angel Borja: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Iñigo Muxika: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
José A. Fernandes-Salvador: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Leire Ibaibarriaga: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Ainhize Uriarte: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Marta Revilla: Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)
Fernando Villate: University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU)
Arantza Iriarte: Research Centre for Experimental Marine Biology and Biotechnology Plentzia Marine Station PiE-UPV/EHU
Ibon Uriarte: Research Centre for Experimental Marine Biology and Biotechnology Plentzia Marine Station PiE-UPV/EHU
Soultana Zervoudaki: Hellenic Centre for Marine Research
Jacob Carstensen: Department of Ecoscience
Paul J. Somerfield: Plymouth Marine Laboratory
Ana M. Queirós: Plymouth Marine Laboratory
Andrea J. McEvoy: Plymouth Marine Laboratory
Arnaud Auber: Laboratoire Ressources Halieutiques
Manuel Hidalgo: Ecosystem Oceanography Group (GRECO)
Marta Coll: n° 37-49
Joaquim Garrabou: n° 37-49
Daniel Gómez-Gras: University of Hawai’i at Mānoa
Cristina Linares: Universitat de Barcelona (UB)
Francisco Ramírez: n° 37-49
Núria Margarit: Universitat de Barcelona (UB)
Mario Lepage: Aquatic Ecosystems and Global Changes
Chloé Dambrine: Aquatic Ecosystems and Global Changes
Jérémy Lobry: Aquatic Ecosystems and Global Changes
Myron A. Peck: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
Paula Barra: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
Anieke Leeuwen: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
Gil Rilov: Israel Oceanographic and Limnological Research (IOLR)
Erez Yeruham: Israel Oceanographic and Limnological Research (IOLR)
Anik Brind’Amour: INRAE
Martin Lindegren: Technical University of Denmark

Nature Communications, 2024, vol. 15, issue 1, 1-13

Abstract: Abstract Ocean warming and acidification, decreases in dissolved oxygen concentrations, and changes in primary production are causing an unprecedented global redistribution of marine life. The identification of underlying ecological processes underpinning marine species turnover, particularly the prevalence of increases of warm-water species or declines of cold-water species, has been recently debated in the context of ocean warming. Here, we track changes in the mean thermal affinity of marine communities across European seas by calculating the Community Temperature Index for 65 biodiversity time series collected over four decades and containing 1,817 species from different communities (zooplankton, coastal benthos, pelagic and demersal invertebrates and fish). We show that most communities and sites have clearly responded to ongoing ocean warming via abundance increases of warm-water species (tropicalization, 54%) and decreases of cold-water species (deborealization, 18%). Tropicalization dominated Atlantic sites compared to semi-enclosed basins such as the Mediterranean and Baltic Seas, probably due to physical barrier constraints to connectivity and species colonization. Semi-enclosed basins appeared to be particularly vulnerable to ocean warming, experiencing the fastest rates of warming and biodiversity loss through deborealization.

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-46526-y

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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46526-y

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