A cost-effective climate mitigation pathway for China with co-benefits for sustainability

Meiqian Chen, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong (), Enayat A. Moallemi, Yinfeng Xu, Ke Li, Wenhao Lin, Jing Yang, Weijun Xu, Matteo Pedercini and Brett A. Bryan
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Meiqian Chen: Sichuan University
Lei Gao: Waite Campus
Zhaoxia Guo: Sichuan University
Yucheng Dong: Sichuan University
Enayat A. Moallemi: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
Yinfeng Xu: Xi’an Jiaotong University
Ke Li: Sichuan University
Wenhao Lin: Sichuan University
Jing Yang: Sichuan University
Weijun Xu: South China University of Technology
Matteo Pedercini: Millennium Institute
Brett A. Bryan: Deakin University

Nature Communications, 2024, vol. 15, issue 1, 1-12

Abstract: Abstract Climate mitigation policies have broad environmental and socioeconomic impacts and thus underpin progress towards the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Through national-scale integrated modeling, we explore the spillover effects of China’s long-term climate mitigation pathways (CMPs) on achieving all 17 SDGs, and then identify a cost-effective CMP for China with co-benefits for sustainability. Our analysis indicates that the 9 original CMPs and 180 bundled CMPs can both substantially boost the SDGs, resulting in an increase of 6.33–8.86 and 5.90–9.33 points in overall SDG score (0=no progress, 100=full achievement) by 2060, compared to the Reference pathway of 70.75 points, respectively. The identified cost-effective CMP deals with the trade-offs among sustainability, CO2 emissions and mitigation cost, and maximizes the synergies between them. This CMP can inform future directions for China’s policy-makers to maximize the potential synergies between carbon neutrality and long-term sustainable development.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-53912-z

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