Towards global reaction feasibility and robustness prediction with high throughput data and bayesian deep learning

Haowen Zhong, Yilan Liu, Haibin Sun, Yuru Liu, Rentao Zhang, Baochen Li, Yi Yang, Yuqing Huang, Fei Yang, Frankie S. Mak, Klement Foo, Sen Lin, Tianshu Yu (), Peng Wang () and Xiaoxue Wang ()
Additional contact information
Haowen Zhong: ChemLex
Yilan Liu: ChemLex
Haibin Sun: ChemLex
Yuru Liu: ChemLex
Rentao Zhang: ChemLex
Baochen Li: ChemLex
Yi Yang: ChemLex
Yuqing Huang: Ltd.
Fei Yang: Zhejiang Laboratory
Frankie S. Mak: Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR)
Klement Foo: Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR)
Sen Lin: ChemLex
Tianshu Yu: The Chinese University of Hong Kong - Shenzhen
Peng Wang: ChemLex
Xiaoxue Wang: ChemLex

Nature Communications, 2025, vol. 16, issue 1, 1-11

Abstract: Abstract Predicting organic reaction feasibility and robustness against environmental factors is challenging. We address this issue by integrating high throughput experimentation (HTE) and Bayesian deep learning. Diverging from existing HTE studies focused on niche chemical spaces, in this work, our in-house HTE platform conducted 11,669 distinct acid amine coupling reactions in 156 working hours, yielding the most extensive single HTE dataset at a volumetric scale for industrial delivery. Our Bayesian neural network model achieved a benchmark for prediction accuracy of 89.48% for reaction feasibility. Furthermore, our fine-grained uncertainty disentanglement enables efficient active learning, reducing 80% of data requirements. Additionally, our uncertainty analysis effectively identifies out-of-domain reactions and evaluates reaction robustness or reproducibility against environmental factors for scaling up, offering a practical framework for navigating chemical spaces and designing highly robust industrial processes.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-59812-0

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