Dynamics of a producer-freeloader ecosystem on the brink of collapse

Andrew Chen, Alvaro Sanchez (), Lei Dai and Jeff Gore ()
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Andrew Chen: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Alvaro Sanchez: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Lei Dai: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Jeff Gore: Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Nature Communications, 2014, vol. 5, issue 1, 1-6

Abstract: Abstract Ecosystems can undergo sudden shifts to undesirable states, but recent studies with simple single-species ecosystems have demonstrated that advance warning can be provided by the slowing down of population dynamics near a tipping point. However, it is unclear how this ‘critical slowing down’ will manifest in ecosystems with strong interactions between their components. Here we probe the dynamics of an experimental producer-freeloader ecosystem as it approaches a catastrophic collapse. Surprisingly, the producer population grows in size as the environment deteriorates, highlighting that population size can be a misleading measure of ecosystem stability. By analysing the oscillatory producer-freeloader dynamics for over 100 generations in multiple environmental conditions, we find that the collective ecosystem dynamics slow down as the tipping point is approached. Analysis of the coupled dynamics of interacting populations may therefore be necessary to provide advance warning of collapse in complex communities.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1038/ncomms4713

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